| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.8% | 50% | +4.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 41.9% | 42.1% |
| xgboost | 49.9% | 49.1% |
| logistic | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| St. Louis Blues | Montréal Canadiens | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1534 | 1583 |
| Surface Elo | 1534 | 1583 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.18 | 3.27 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.18 | 3.27 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 0 - 4 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Vegas Golden Knights | 6 - 2 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Winnipeg Jets | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Nashville Predators | 2 - 5 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Minnesota Wild | 4 - 5 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Winnipeg Jets | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Chicago Blackhawks | 4 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | San Jose Sharks | 3 - 4 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Buffalo Sabres | 4 - 3 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Washington Capitals | 4 - 5 | L |
| 03 Jan 2026 | St. Louis Blues | 2 - 0 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 08 Dec 2025 | Montréal Canadiens | 3 - 4 | St. Louis Blues |
| 26 Mar 2025 | St. Louis Blues | 6 - 1 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Montréal Canadiens | 5 - 2 | St. Louis Blues |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 2.01 | 49.8% | 27 Oct 23:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 1.90 | 52.6% | 27 Oct 23:20 |