OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ Super Lig · Saturday 17 October 2026, 16:00 UTC · finished
Fenerbahce 2.00 3 - 0 1.60 Alanyaspor
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 65.8%78%-12.4%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 90.3%96%-5.9%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 87.2%94%-6.8%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 55.2%66%-10.8%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 50.8%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson70.0%18.4%11.6%
xgboost78.4%15.2%6.4%
logistic77.1%15.8%7.1%
Inputs the models saw
FenerbahceAlanyaspor
Elo (pre-match)17801558
Surface Elo17801558
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.001.60
Form trend-0.30-0.20
Season points per game1.861.71
Season goals for / game2.711.14
Season goals against / game0.860.86
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)7 W1 W · 2 D
Fenerbahce: last 5
14 OctAAston Villa0 - 6L
10 OctARizespor3 - 0W
10 OctARizespor3 - 0W
20 SepHEyupspor8 - 0W
20 SepHEyupspor8 - 0W
Alanyaspor: last 5
10 OctHErzurumspor0 - 0D
10 OctHErzurumspor0 - 0D
19 SepACorum2 - 1W
19 SepACorum2 - 1W
12 SepHGoztep2 - 2D
Head to head
18 Jan 2026Alanyaspor2 - 3Fenerbahce
17 Sep 2025Fenerbahce2 - 2Alanyaspor
09 Feb 2025Alanyaspor0 - 2Fenerbahce
30 Aug 2024Fenerbahce3 - 0Alanyaspor
11 Feb 2024Fenerbahce2 - 2Alanyaspor
24 Sep 2023Alanyaspor0 - 1Fenerbahce
19 Mar 2023Alanyaspor1 - 3Fenerbahce
18 Sep 2022Fenerbahce5 - 0Alanyaspor
13 Mar 2022Alanyaspor2 - 5Fenerbahce
24 Oct 2021Fenerbahce1 - 2Alanyaspor
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away8.5011.8%17 Oct 17:00
Bet3651X2draw5.2519.1%17 Oct 17:00
Bet3651X2home1.2480.7%17 Oct 17:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.4867.6%17 Oct 17:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.6038.5%17 Oct 17:00
SportyBet1X2away9.6010.4%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw6.1916.2%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.3176.3%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5066.7%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.7037.0%17 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:06 UTC