| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 80.5% | 84% | -3.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 71.3% | 28.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 92.6% | 7.4% |
| logistic | 63.5% | 36.5% |
| Dino Prizmic | Daniil Glinka | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1835 | 1649 |
| Surface Elo | 1835 | 1649 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Sep | H | David Jorda Sanchis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Daniel Rincon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Titouan Droguet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Daniil Glinka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | David Jorda Sanchis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Ugo Blanchet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Daniel Jade | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Dino Prizmic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Ugo Blanchet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Daniel Jade | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Daniil Glinka | 0 - 2 | Dino Prizmic |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.55 | 22.0% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.18 | 84.8% | 25 Sep 06:15 |