OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-25
⚽ Serie B · Sunday 25 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Palermo 2.60 2 - 1 1.20 Carrarese
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 64.5%69%-4.1%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 88.3%91%-2.5%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 84.6%87%-2.0%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 51.6%42%+10.0%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 51.0%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson58.8%24.9%16.3%
xgboost76.2%14.6%9.2%
logistic69.8%20.9%9.3%
Inputs the models saw
PalermoCarrarese
Elo (pre-match)16291389
Surface Elo16291389
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.601.20
Form trend-0.20-0.90
Season points per game2.711.00
Season goals for / game2.290.86
Season goals against / game1.001.00
Rest days78
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W1 W · 1 D
Palermo: last 5
24 OctASalernitana2 - 1W
17 OctAMantova2 - 0W
17 OctAMantova2 - 0W
10 OctAEmpoli4 - 2W
10 OctAEmpoli4 - 2W
Carrarese: last 5
17 OctHModena2 - 1W
17 OctHModena2 - 1W
11 OctAPadova2 - 0W
11 OctAPadova2 - 0W
19 SepHBenevento0 - 1L
Head to head
08 Mar 2026Carrarese0 - 1Palermo
29 Nov 2025Palermo5 - 0Carrarese
13 May 2025Palermo1 - 1Carrarese
07 Dec 2024Carrarese1 - 0Palermo
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away6.0016.7%25 Oct 14:00
Bet3651X2draw4.1024.4%25 Oct 14:00
Bet3651X2home1.4967.1%25 Oct 14:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.6261.7%25 Oct 14:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.2544.4%25 Oct 14:00
SportyBet1X2away6.1016.4%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.7021.3%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.4668.5%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5664.1%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.4041.7%25 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:09 UTC