| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.0% | 56% | -4.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 51.6% | 48.4% |
| logistic | 45.9% | 54.1% |
| Carlos Sanchez Jover | Lorenzo Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1539 | 1588 |
| Surface Elo | 1539 | 1588 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | H | Francesco Forti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Yanaki Milev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Lorenzo Giustino | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Francesco Forti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Christian Langmo | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Carlos Sanchez Jover | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Christian Langmo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Matthew William Donald | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | John Sperle | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Carlos Sanchez Jover | 2 - 1 | Lorenzo Giustino |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.69 | 59.2% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 08 Oct 06:15 |