OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ Scottish Premiership · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
St Mirren 0.00 2 - 1 1.60 Dundee
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 43.7%45%-1.4%✓ hit
DCHome or away 74.3%78%-4.0%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 55.4%61%-5.6%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 56.5%60%-3.4%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 54.8%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson39.8%26.4%33.8%
xgboost35.9%30.1%34.0%
logistic40.0%28.6%31.4%
Inputs the models saw
St MirrenDundee
Elo (pre-match)15611650
Surface Elo15611650
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.001.60
Form trend0.00-0.30
Season points per game1.111.56
Season goals for / game1.001.44
Season goals against / game1.891.11
Rest days76
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W5 W · 2 D
St Mirren: last 5
17 OctAAberdeen1 - 3L
17 OctAAberdeen1 - 3L
13 OctAEdinburgh City5 - 0W
10 OctAHeart of Midlothian FC0 - 5L
10 OctAHearts0 - 5L
Dundee: last 5
17 OctHRangers2 - 2D
17 OctHRangers2 - 2D
10 OctAFalkirk2 - 1W
10 OctAFalkirk2 - 1W
25 SepASpartans0 - 1L
Head to head
02 May 2026Dundee1 - 0St Mirren
31 Jan 2026St Mirren0 - 0Dundee
29 Nov 2025Dundee3 - 1St Mirren
27 Sep 2025St Mirren1 - 0Dundee
05 Apr 2025Dundee2 - 0St Mirren
29 Dec 2024St Mirren1 - 2Dundee
31 Aug 2024Dundee2 - 2St Mirren
04 May 2024Dundee1 - 3St Mirren
07 Feb 2024St Mirren2 - 0Dundee
11 Nov 2023Dundee4 - 0St Mirren
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.0033.3%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.6027.8%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home2.1546.5%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.6759.9%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.2045.5%24 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away3.0333.0%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7027.0%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.2843.9%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6759.9%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.2045.5%24 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:55 UTC