| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 47.9% | 58% | -10.1% | |
| DC | Home or away | 75.0% | 82% | -7.4% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 63.0% | 76% | -12.5% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.6% | 68% | -14.2% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.6% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.7% | 25.5% | 29.8% |
| xgboost | 46.4% | 28.7% | 24.9% |
| logistic | 44.9% | 27.1% | 28.0% |
| Fylde | Hornchurch | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1425 | 1446 |
| Surface Elo | 1425 | 1446 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.29 | 1.29 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.14 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.71 | 1.57 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | H | Hartlepool | 3 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Hartlepool | 3 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Boreham Wood | 0 - 4 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Boreham Wood | 0 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Scunthorpe | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Yeovil | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Yeovil | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Hartlepool | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Hartlepool | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Eastleigh | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.10 | 24.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.73 | 57.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.47 | 68.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.60 | 38.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |