| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 71.7% | 71% | +0.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 32.4% | 67.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 28.8% | 71.1% |
| logistic | 33.7% | 66.3% |
| Matteo Martineau | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1565 | 1767 |
| Surface Elo | 1565 | 1767 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.56 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.89 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | A | Etienne Donnet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Max Schoenhaus | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Mika Brunold | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Liam Broady | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Matteo Martineau | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Clement Tabur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Dinko Dinev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Matteo Martineau | 2 - 0 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg |
| 21 Apr 2025 | Matteo Martineau | 2 - 1 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg |
| 21 Jan 2025 | Matteo Martineau | 1 - 2 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.41 | 70.9% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.75 | 36.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |