| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.4% | 13% | +43.7% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 81.7% | 28% | +53.4% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 76.2% | 15% | +61.4% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.5% | 77% | -25.4% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 11.4% | 18.0% | 70.6% |
| xgboost | 25.5% | 27.7% | 46.9% |
| logistic | 17.3% | 26.3% | 56.3% |
| Annan Athletic | Hibernian | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1332 | 1673 |
| Surface Elo | 1332 | 1673 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | A | Queen of the South FC | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Forfar | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Forfar | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Elgin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | Kelty Hearts | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Alloa | 1 - 4 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Aberdeen | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Aberdeen | 1 - 1 | D |
| 15 Sep | H | Kilmarnock | 0 - 1 | L |
| 06 Sep | A | St Johnstone | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 7.90 | 12.7% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 6.40 | 15.6% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.26 | 79.4% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.30 | 76.9% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.33 | 30.0% | 26 Sep 06:15 |