OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-11-08

NFL · Sunday 08 November 2026, 18:00 UTC · finished

Washington Commanders – 13 - 20 – Los Angeles Rams

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Away win	54.3%	no line		✓ hit

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	45.7%	54.3%

Inputs the models saw

	Washington Commanders	Los Angeles Rams
playoff	0.00
elo diff	-0.21
form diff	-0.06
rest diff	-0.03
home field	1.00
point diff	-0.38
opponent strength diff	0.10
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-11-07T18:00:00+00:00

Washington Commanders: last 5

02 Nov	H	Philadelphia Eagles	27 - 10	W
20 Oct	A	San Francisco 49ers	17 - 23	L
11 Oct	H	New York Giants	27 - 27	D
04 Oct	H	Indianapolis Colts	13 - 30	L
27 Sep	H	Seattle Seahawks	33 - 31	W

Los Angeles Rams: last 5

01 Nov	H	Los Angeles Chargers	24 - 9	W
25 Oct	A	Las Vegas Raiders	35 - 21	W
18 Oct	H	Arizona Cardinals	16 - 18	L
13 Oct	H	Buffalo Bills	34 - 37	L
04 Oct	A	Philadelphia Eagles	24 - 20	W

Head to head

17 Dec 2023	Los Angeles Rams	28 - 20	Washington Commanders
11 Oct 2020	Washington Commanders	10 - 30	Los Angeles Rams
17 Sep 2017	Los Angeles Rams	20 - 27	Washington Commanders

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	3.00	33.3%	08 Nov 14:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	1.44	69.4%	08 Nov 14:20

Generated 2026-11-12 22:04 UTC