| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.0% | 65% | -2.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 54.1% | 45.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 72.3% | 27.7% |
| logistic | 66.9% | 33.1% |
| Elena Rybakina | Diana Shnaider | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1970 | 1817 |
| Surface Elo | 1970 | 1817 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.83 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Oct | H | Katarzyna Kawa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Polina Kudermetova | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Leylah Fernandez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Diana Shnaider | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Katarzyna Kawa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Iva Jovic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Alexandra Eala | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Yulia Putintseva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Elena Rybakina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Iva Jovic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Diana Shnaider | 0 - 2 | Elena Rybakina |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Diana Shnaider | 0 - 2 | Elena Rybakina |
| 13 Apr 2026 | Diana Shnaider | 0 - 2 | Elena Rybakina |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.60 | 38.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.53 | 65.4% | 24 Oct 06:15 |