| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 49.4% | 34% | +15.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.6% | 77% | -1.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 62.5% | 47% | +15.7% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 49.8% | 51% | -1.5% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.7% | 28.8% | 34.5% |
| xgboost | 28.9% | 24.5% | 46.5% |
| logistic | 29.9% | 26.6% | 43.5% |
| Livingston | Partick | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1518 | 1651 |
| Surface Elo | 1518 | 1651 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 2 D |
| 03 Oct | H | Ayr | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Ayr | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Raith Rvs | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | A | Raith Rovers FC | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Inverness C | 2 - 2 | D |
| 03 Oct | H | Arbroath | 3 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Arbroath | 3 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Raith Rvs | 0 - 0 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Raith Rovers FC | 0 - 0 | D |
| 15 Sep | A | Stenhousemuir | 0 - 1 | L |
| 07 Aug 2026 | Partick | 2 - 0 | Livingston |
| 02 May 2025 | Livingston | 0 - 1 | Partick |
| 28 Feb 2025 | Partick | 1 - 1 | Livingston |
| 13 Dec 2024 | Livingston | 2 - 0 | Partick |
| 05 Oct 2024 | Partick | 0 - 0 | Livingston |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.95 | 33.9% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.79 | 55.9% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.95 | 51.3% | 09 Oct 06:15 |