| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.1% | 48% | +3.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 57.3% | 42.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 45.1% | 54.9% |
| logistic | 48.7% | 51.3% |
| Maximilian Marterer | Johannus Monday | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1615 | 1597 |
| Surface Elo | 1615 | 1597 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 4 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | A | Murgett, F | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Arthur Nagel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Thijs Boogaard | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Arthur Bouquier | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Tom Paris | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Massard, L | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Michele Ribecai | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Lui Maxted | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Iliyan Radulov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Aug | A | Iliyan Radulov | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.66 | 60.2% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 28 Oct 06:15 |