| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 43.1% | 43% | -0.4% | |
| DC | Home or away | 74.6% | 77% | -2.8% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 55.1% | 59% | -4.0% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.3% | 43% | +9.2% | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.1% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 41.3% | 26.3% | 32.4% |
| xgboost | 27.8% | 28.2% | 44.0% |
| logistic | 32.0% | 28.3% | 39.6% |
| Kaiserslautern | Hertha Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1525 | 1558 |
| Surface Elo | 1525 | 1558 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 2.50 | 2.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 4 W · 0 D |
| 28 Oct | A | Hannover | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Nurnberg | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | 1 FC Nuremberg | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Bochum | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Bochum | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | SSV Jeddeloh II | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Bielefeld | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Bielefeld | 1 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Holstein Kiel | 0 - 0 | D |
| 16 Oct | A | Holstein Kiel | 0 - 0 | D |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Hertha Berlin | 0 - 1 | Kaiserslautern |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Kaiserslautern | 0 - 1 | Hertha Berlin |
| 08 Feb 2025 | Hertha Berlin | 0 - 1 | Kaiserslautern |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Kaiserslautern | 3 - 4 | Hertha Berlin |
| 11 May 2024 | Hertha Berlin | 3 - 1 | Kaiserslautern |
| 09 Dec 2023 | Kaiserslautern | 1 - 2 | Hertha Berlin |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.95 | 33.9% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.58 | 63.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.35 | 42.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |