| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.4% | 58% | -4.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.1% | 50.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| logistic | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Moez Echargui | Daniil Glinka | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1588 | 1635 |
| Surface Elo | 1588 | 1635 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | H | Raul Brancaccio | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Daniil Glinka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Raul Brancaccio | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Edas Butvilas | 0 - 1 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Damir Dzumhur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Gauthier Onclin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Laslo Djere | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Jack Pinnington Jones | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Moez Echargui | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Daniil Glinka | 2 - 0 | Moez Echargui |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.69 | 59.2% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 08 Oct 06:15 |