| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.2% | 68% | -5.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 71.6% | 28.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 59.1% | 40.8% |
| logistic | 51.3% | 48.7% |
| Marie Bouzkova | Kimberly Birrell | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1731 | 1653 |
| Surface Elo | 1731 | 1653 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.20 |
| Rest days | 34 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | H | Qinwen Zheng | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Kimberly Birrell | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Iga Swiatek | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Harriet Dart | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Elsa Jacquemot | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Aoi Ito | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Marie Bouzkova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Aoi Ito | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Maya Joint | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Anna Bondar | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Kimberly Birrell | 0 - 2 | Marie Bouzkova |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.85 | 35.1% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.46 | 68.5% | 03 Oct 06:15 |