| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.8% | 39% | +24.8% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 85.5% | 75% | +10.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 78.0% | 57% | +21.2% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.2% | 38% | +7.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 46.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 51.8% | 26.2% | 22.0% |
| xgboost | 47.8% | 24.7% | 27.5% |
| logistic | 44.3% | 26.3% | 29.4% |
| Athens Kallithea | Panserraikos | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1462 | 1405 |
| Surface Elo | 1462 | 1405 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 489 | 121 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 3 W · 1 D |
| 18 May | A | Volos NFC | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 May | H | Panserraikos | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 May | A | Levadeiakos | 1 - 4 | L |
| 05 May | H | Panetolikos | 0 - 0 | D |
| 28 Apr | A | Panetolikos | 1 - 0 | W |
| 21 May | A | Atromitos | 0 - 6 | L |
| 17 May | H | Panetolikos | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 May | A | Asteras Tripolis | 0 - 1 | L |
| 09 May | H | Kifisia | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 May | H | Larisa | 1 - 1 | D |
| 14 May 2025 | Athens Kallithea | 1 - 1 | Panserraikos |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Panserraikos | 3 - 1 | Athens Kallithea |
| 01 Mar 2025 | Panserraikos | 2 - 1 | Athens Kallithea |
| 22 Nov 2024 | Athens Kallithea | 1 - 2 | Panserraikos |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.90 | 34.5% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 2.95 | 33.9% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.65 | 37.7% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.40 | 71.4% | 20 Sep 06:15 |