| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.7% | 68% | -10.8% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 82.9% | 88% | -4.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 76.2% | 84% | -7.3% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.1% | 33% | +24.8% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 53.0% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 19.0% | 20.9% | 60.1% |
| xgboost | 20.3% | 25.6% | 54.1% |
| logistic | 13.5% | 23.7% | 62.8% |
| Cambuur | AZ Alkmaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1370 | 1655 |
| Surface Elo | 1370 | 1655 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 3 W · 1 D |
| 11 Oct | A | Zwolle | 1 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Zwolle | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Den Haag | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Den Haag | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Nijmegen | 3 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | VVV Venlo | 4 - 4 | D |
| 15 Oct | H | Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Feyenoord | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Feyenoord | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | FC Den Bosch | 0 - 1 | L |
| 25 Feb 2023 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 - 1 | Cambuur |
| 28 Aug 2022 | Cambuur | 0 - 1 | AZ Alkmaar |
| 22 Jan 2022 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 - 0 | Cambuur |
| 03 Oct 2021 | Cambuur | 1 - 3 | AZ Alkmaar |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.48 | 67.6% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.98 | 20.1% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.73 | 17.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.38 | 72.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.00 | 33.3% | 16 Oct 06:15 |