| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.2% | 66% | -6.6% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 54.6% | 45.3% |
| logistic | 66.2% | 33.8% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Hubert Hurkacz | Holger Rune | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 2028 | 1853 |
| Surface Elo | 2028 | 1853 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W 路 0 D |
| 27 Oct | H | Zizou Bergs | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Yi Zhou | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Yi Zhou | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Quentin Halys | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Daniel Altmaier | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Daniel Altmaier | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Kyrian Jacquet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Kyrian Jacquet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct 2022 | Holger Rune | 2 - 0 | Hubert Hurkacz |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | h2h | Holger Rune | 2.66 | 37.6% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| 1xBet | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.50 | 66.7% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Holger Rune | 2.60 | 38.5% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.50 | 66.7% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Holger Rune | 2.50 | 40.0% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.56 | 64.1% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Holger Rune | 2.55 | 39.2% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.48 | 67.6% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Holger Rune | 2.74 | 36.5% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.56 | 64.1% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Holger Rune | 2.80 | 35.7% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.58 | 63.3% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Holger Rune | 2.62 | 38.2% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.53 | 65.4% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Holger Rune | 2.55 | 39.2% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.49 | 67.1% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Holger Rune | 2.60 | 38.5% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.50 | 66.7% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Holger Rune | 2.55 | 39.2% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.50 | 66.7% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Holger Rune | 2.62 | 38.2% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.48 | 67.6% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Holger Rune | 2.74 | 36.5% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.56 | 64.1% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Holger Rune | 2.80 | 35.7% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.58 | 63.3% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Holger Rune | 2.55 | 39.2% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.49 | 67.1% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Holger Rune | 2.66 | 37.6% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.53 | 65.4% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Holger Rune | 2.43 | 41.1% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.44 | 69.4% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.52 | 65.8% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| Tipico | h2h | Holger Rune | 2.55 | 39.2% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Tipico | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.45 | 69.0% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Holger Rune | 2.40 | 41.7% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.44 | 69.4% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Holger Rune | 2.55 | 39.2% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.50 | 66.7% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Holger Rune | 2.55 | 39.2% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.50 | 66.7% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Holger Rune | 2.60 | 38.5% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.50 | 66.7% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Holger Rune | 2.65 | 37.7% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.52 | 65.8% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Holger Rune | 2.50 | 40.0% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.48 | 67.6% | 28 Oct 06:01 |