OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-11-09
🎾 ATP Challenger Matsuyama, Japan Men Singles · Monday 09 November 2026, 01:00 UTC · finished
Joel Schwaerzler 0.60 2 - 0 1.20 Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 75.0%79%-3.7%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov55.1%44.9%
poisson37.0%35.2%
xgboost75.6%24.3%
logistic76.4%23.6%
Inputs the models saw
Joel SchwaerzlerMitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Elo (pre-match)16011478
Surface Elo16011478
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.601.20
Form trend0.600.30
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.131.13
Season goals against / game1.131.13
Rest days65
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Joel Schwaerzler: last 5
02 NovHJan Kumstat1 - 2L
02 NovAJan Kumstat1 - 2L
24 OctHTitouan Droguet1 - 2L
17 OctHFederico Cina0 - 2L
08 OctAJack Pinnington Jones0 - 2L
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong: last 5
03 NovAMasamichi Imamura0 - 2L
02 NovAMasamichi Imamura0 - 2L
01 NovATin Chen2 - 0W
25 OctHQian Sun0 - 2L
08 OctAJay Friend0 - 2L
Head to head
No previous meetings in our data.
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.5528.2%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.2778.7%08 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 21:54 UTC