| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.8% | 74% | -17.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 68.3% | 31.7% |
| logistic | 41.1% | 58.9% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Patrick Brady | Etienne Donnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1499 | 1576 |
| Surface Elo | 1499 | 1576 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 11 Oct | A | Oleg Prihodko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Mili Poljicak | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Charles Broom | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Patrick Zahraj | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Aug | A | Lui Maxted | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Matteo Martineau | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Amir Omarkhanov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Daniel Jade | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Amaury Raynel | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.05 | 32.8% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.35 | 74.1% | 12 Oct 06:15 |