| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.3% | 63% | -4.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 59.7% | 40.2% |
| logistic | 60.6% | 39.4% |
| Valentin Royer | Clement Tabur | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1728 | 1624 |
| Surface Elo | 1728 | 1624 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 5 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | A | Mathys Erhard | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Stefano Travaglia | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Mathys Erhard | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Henry Bernet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Henry Bernet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Thomas Faurel | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.59 | 62.9% | 18 Oct 06:15 |