| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.4% | 58% | -3.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.7% | 50.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 63.4% | 36.6% |
| logistic | 51.1% | 48.9% |
| Jaime Faria | Mika Brunold | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1753 | 1763 |
| Surface Elo | 1753 | 1763 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.40 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Felix Balshaw | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Felix Balshaw | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Arthur Gea | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Arthur Gea | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Jaume Munar | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Matteo Martineau | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Jerome Kym | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Felix Balshaw | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Benjamin Bonzi | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Domenc, Mathys | 0 - 1 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.71 | 58.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |