OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-11-07
🎾 ITF M25 Guadalajara · Saturday 07 November 2026, 01:00 UTC · finished
Alvarez Valdes, Luis Carlos 2.40 2 - 0 1.80 Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 73.0%79%-6.4%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
poisson37.0%35.2%
xgboost21.0%78.9%
logistic24.4%75.6%
markovabstained: no serve/return ratings for this match
Inputs the models saw
Alvarez Valdes, Luis CarlosRodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Elo (pre-match)15351622
Surface Elo15351622
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.401.80
Form trend0.000.00
Season points per game2.003.00
Season goals for / game1.442.00
Season goals against / game0.780.00
Rest days11
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Alvarez Valdes, Luis Carlos: last 5
05 NovHMaxwell Mckennon2 - 0W
04 NovARodrigo Alujas2 - 0W
23 OctHAdrian Oetzbach1 - 2L
22 OctADe Marchi, Andrea2 - 0W
21 OctAGabriele Bosio2 - 0W
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez: last 5
05 NovAJesse Flores2 - 0W
29 OctHHugo Dellien0 - 2L
27 OctAJuan Pablo Varillas2 - 0W
26 OctAHugo Dellien0 - 2L
26 OctAJuan Pablo Varillas2 - 0W
Head to head
No previous meetings in our data.
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.2679.4%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.5028.6%06 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 21:54 UTC