| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 80.2% | 90% | -9.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 31.5% | 68.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 11.1% | 88.9% |
| logistic | 23.0% | 77.0% |
| Vadym Ursu | Borna Gojo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1400 | 1727 |
| Surface Elo | 1400 | 1727 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 1 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | A | Hugo Grenier | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Borna Gojo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Gabi Adrian Boitan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Dimitar Kuzmanov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | August Holmgren | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Titouan Droguet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Vadym Ursu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Titouan Droguet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Sep | H | Matteo Martineau | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Daniel Masur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Borna Gojo | 2 - 0 | Vadym Ursu |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.11 | 90.1% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.80 | 17.2% | 22 Sep 06:15 |