| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win selected | 79.5% | 75% | +4.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 70.3% | 29.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 85.8% | 14.1% |
| logistic | 65.7% | 34.3% |
| Francisco Comesana | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1660 | 1479 |
| Surface Elo | 1660 | 1479 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 22 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | H | Juan Estevez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Juan Estevez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Sep | A | Flavio Cobolli | 2 - 3 | L |
| 25 Aug | A | Daniel Altmaier | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Carlos Maria Zarate | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Mateo Del Pino | 1 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Alex Barrena | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Juan Pablo Varillas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Francisco Comesana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Francisco Comesana | 1 - 2 | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.15 | 31.8% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.33 | 75.2% | 23 Sep 06:15 |