| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.9% | 79% | -25.8% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 79.0% | 92% | -13.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 71.8% | 90% | -18.6% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.5% | 65% | -2.8% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 63.5% | 33% | +30.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.4% | 25.0% | 30.9% |
| xgboost | 48.0% | 32.5% | 19.5% |
| logistic | 67.4% | 20.6% | 11.9% |
| Inter | Udinese | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1916 | 1635 |
| Surface Elo | 1916 | 1635 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 9 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 8 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 05 Sep | H | Napoli | 3 - 2 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Cagliari | 1 - 0 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | Monza | 4 - 1 | W |
| 23 May | A | Bologna | 3 - 3 | D |
| 17 May | H | Verona | 1 - 1 | D |
| 07 Sep | H | Lazio | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Monza | 3 - 2 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | Como | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 May | A | Napoli | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 May | H | Cremonese | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Udinese | 0 - 1 | Inter |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Inter | 1 - 2 | Udinese |
| 30 Mar 2025 | Inter | 2 - 1 | Udinese |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Udinese | 2 - 3 | Inter |
| 08 Apr 2024 | Udinese | 1 - 2 | Inter |
| 09 Dec 2023 | Inter | 4 - 0 | Udinese |
| 18 Feb 2023 | Inter | 3 - 1 | Udinese |
| 18 Sep 2022 | Udinese | 3 - 1 | Inter |
| 01 May 2022 | Udinese | 1 - 2 | Inter |
| 31 Oct 2021 | Inter | 2 - 0 | Udinese |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 13.00 | 7.7% | 14 Sep 19:45 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 6.50 | 15.4% | 14 Sep 19:45 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.20 | 83.3% | 14 Sep 19:45 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.40 | 71.4% | 14 Sep 19:45 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.00 | 33.3% | 14 Sep 19:45 |