| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 69.8% | 76% | -6.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 39.0% | 61.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 16.9% | 83.0% |
| logistic | 44.4% | 55.6% |
| Leo Raquillet | Gabi Adrian Boitan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1446 | 1534 |
| Surface Elo | 1446 | 1534 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 27 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | H | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Jul | H | Lorenzo Giustino | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Jun | H | Marko Topo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jun | A | Kilian Feldbausch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jun | H | Pavel Kotov | 1 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Sebastian Gima | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Borys Zgola | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Florian Broska | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Vlad Cristian Breazu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Vadym Ursu | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.31 | 76.3% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.25 | 30.8% | 11 Oct 06:15 |