| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.4% | 52% | +3.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 49.9% | 49.9% |
| logistic | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| Dali Blanch | Marko Topo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1494 | 1509 |
| Surface Elo | 1494 | 1509 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.86 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.86 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.43 | 1.25 |
| Rest days | 22 | 36 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Henrique Rocha | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Henrique Rocha | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Milos Karol | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Dominic Stricker | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Niels Visker | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Petr Nesterov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Vitaliy Sachko | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.96 | 51.0% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.79 | 55.9% | 10 Nov 06:15 |