| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.1% | 70% | -23.6% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 76.8% | 85% | -8.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 57.6% | 88% | -30.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.1% | 62% | -2.9% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.1% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 53.5% | 24.5% | 22.0% |
| xgboost | 45.6% | 32.7% | 21.7% |
| logistic | 27.4% | 18.3% | 54.3% |
| Bursaspor | Pendikspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1462 | 1464 |
| Surface Elo | 1462 | 1464 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | -0.50 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 0.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 2.33 |
| Rest days | 2703 | 876 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | A | Muglaspor | 3 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Mardin 1969 Spor | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Batman Petrolspor | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 May | A | Yeni Malatyaspor | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 May | H | Goztep | 0 - 0 | D |
| 13 Oct | H | Van Spor FK | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Sivasspor | 1 - 4 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Bodrum FK | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 May | H | Gaziantep | 0 - 1 | L |
| 18 May | A | Ankaragucu | 0 - 0 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.60 | 15.2% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.60 | 21.7% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.43 | 69.9% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.62 | 61.7% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 19 Oct 06:15 |