| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 67.3% | 84% | -16.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.9% | 41.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 73.7% | 26.2% |
| logistic | 58.1% | 41.9% |
| Gabriel Debru | Micah Braswell | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1640 | 1589 |
| Surface Elo | 1640 | 1589 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 78 | 12 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Jul | A | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Jul | H | Paul Inchauspe | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Jul | H | Koki Matsuda | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Jul | A | Florent Bax | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Jul | A | Adrian Boitan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Car, Hugo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Adhithya Ganesan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Jan | H | Trevor Svajda | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Mats Rosenkranz | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Oliver Tarvet | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.20 | 23.8% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.19 | 84.0% | 13 Oct 06:15 |