| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.1% | 51% | -0.2% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 78.6% | 82% | -3.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 68.6% | 71% | -2.7% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.3% | 61% | -1.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 55.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 52.7% | 27.2% | 20.1% |
| xgboost | 47.5% | 25.2% | 27.2% |
| logistic | 50.3% | 28.2% | 21.5% |
| Mirandes | Ferrol | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1410 | 1318 |
| Surface Elo | 1410 | 1318 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 0.25 |
| Rest days | 145 | 510 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 24 Oct | A | CD Virgen Del Camino | 0 - 0 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | UD Santa Marta | 0 - 0 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Barakaldo CF | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Zamora CF | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | CD Guijuelo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Unionistas de Salamanca CF | 1 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Pontevedra CF | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Lugo | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Barakaldo CF | 1 - 0 | W |
| 31 May | H | Sp Gijon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Feb 2025 | Mirandes | 4 - 1 | Ferrol |
| 08 Sep 2024 | Ferrol | 0 - 0 | Mirandes |
| 29 Apr 2024 | Ferrol | 0 - 2 | Mirandes |
| 11 Nov 2023 | Mirandes | 1 - 2 | Ferrol |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.80 | 26.3% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.88 | 53.2% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.10 | 47.6% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.62 | 61.7% | 24 Oct 06:15 |