| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 74.4% | 72% | +1.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.7% | 43.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 67.6% | 32.3% |
| logistic | 80.9% | 19.1% |
| Gonzalo Bueno | Carlos Sanchez Jover | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1647 | 1492 |
| Surface Elo | 1647 | 1492 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 1.13 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 0.88 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.89 | 1.38 |
| Rest days | 3 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | H | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 0 - 1 | L |
| 06 Nov | H | Lautaro Midon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Eduardo Ribeiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Daniel Elahi Galan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Nov | H | Santiago De La Fuente | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Matthew William Donald | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Matthew William Donald | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Marvin Moeller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Marvin Moeller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep 2026 | Carlos Sanchez Jover | 1 - 2 | Gonzalo Bueno |
| 22 Jan 2024 | Carlos Sanchez Jover | 2 - 1 | Gonzalo Bueno |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.90 | 34.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.38 | 72.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |