OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-31
⚽ England Premier League · Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC · scheduled
Brentford 1.20 15:00 0.80 Nottingham Forest
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 47.0%47%+0.0%
DCHome or away 74.3%76%-1.2%
DNBHome (DNB) 62.1%64%-1.6%
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 51.0%46%+5.0%
BTTSBTTS yes 53.8%no line
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson48.8%25.7%25.5%
xgboost40.1%29.2%30.7%
logistic43.3%28.9%27.8%
Inputs the models saw
BrentfordNottingham Forest
Elo (pre-match)17341668
Surface Elo17341668
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.200.80
Form trend0.300.40
Season points per game0.670.33
Season goals for / game1.330.67
Season goals against / game1.671.67
Rest days67
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W3 W · 3 D
Brentford: last 5
28 OctASunderland2 - 3L
25 OctAHull1 - 1D
25 OctAHull1 - 1D
17 OctHLiverpool1 - 2L
17 OctHLiverpool1 - 2L
Nottingham Forest: last 5
23 OctAIpswich1 - 1D
23 OctAIpswich Town U211 - 1D
20 OctAWealdstone0 - 1L
18 OctHArsenal0 - 1L
18 OctHArsenal0 - 1L
Head to head
25 Jan 2026Brentford0 - 2Nottingham Forest
17 Aug 2025Nottingham Forest3 - 1Brentford
01 May 2025Nottingham Forest0 - 2Brentford
21 Dec 2024Brentford0 - 2Nottingham Forest
20 Jan 2024Brentford3 - 2Nottingham Forest
01 Oct 2023Nottingham Forest1 - 1Brentford
29 Apr 2023Brentford2 - 1Nottingham Forest
05 Nov 2022Nottingham Forest2 - 2Brentford
20 Mar 2021Brentford1 - 1Nottingham Forest
12 Dec 2020Nottingham Forest1 - 3Brentford
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.4828.7%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7226.9%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.1646.3%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7258.1%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.2045.5%30 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 14:03 UTC