OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
⚽ England Championship · Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC · finished
West Brom 2.20 3 - 0 0.80 Millwall
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 43.4%49%-5.5%✓ hit
DCHome or away 72.7%76%-3.2%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 59.3%67%-7.6%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 52.1%55%-2.4%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 54.1%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson39.4%29.7%30.9%
xgboost46.7%26.0%27.3%
logistic38.9%31.1%30.0%
Inputs the models saw
West BromMillwall
Elo (pre-match)15821595
Surface Elo15821595
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.200.80
Form trend0.40-0.20
Season points per game1.571.14
Season goals for / game1.431.43
Season goals against / game1.141.57
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W3 W · 7 D
West Brom: last 5
03 NovHSouthampton1 - 1D
03 NovHSouthampton1 - 1D
03 NovATruro0 - 1L
31 OctAWest Ham3 - 1W
31 OctAWest Ham3 - 1W
Millwall: last 5
03 NovABirmingham0 - 3L
03 NovABirmingham0 - 3L
31 OctHDerby4 - 1W
31 OctHDerby4 - 1W
24 OctAPortsmouth1 - 2L
Head to head
10 Apr 2026West Brom0 - 0Millwall
04 Oct 2025Millwall3 - 0West Brom
15 Feb 2025Millwall1 - 1West Brom
05 Oct 2024West Brom0 - 0Millwall
29 Mar 2024Millwall1 - 1West Brom
23 Sep 2023West Brom0 - 0Millwall
01 Apr 2023West Brom0 - 0Millwall
22 Oct 2022Millwall2 - 1West Brom
29 Jan 2022Millwall2 - 0West Brom
11 Sep 2021West Brom1 - 1Millwall
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.7426.7%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6127.7%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.0648.5%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8454.4%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0050.0%06 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:04 UTC