| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 47.7% | 47% | +0.5% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.8% | 76% | +0.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 62.6% | 65% | -2.2% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% | 52% | -0.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.6% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 33.0% | 28.3% | 38.8% |
| xgboost | 26.4% | 18.2% | 55.4% |
| logistic | 25.7% | 29.0% | 45.3% |
| Charlton | Sheffield Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1448 | 1576 |
| Surface Elo | 1448 | 1576 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.29 | 1.86 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.71 | 1.71 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.14 | 1.14 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Bolton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Bolton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Stockport | 6 - 2 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Middlesbrough | 0 - 3 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Middlesbrough | 0 - 3 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Preston | 3 - 2 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Preston North End | 3 - 2 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Preston | 3 - 2 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Wrexham | 1 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Wrexham | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Charlton | 1 - 0 | Sheffield Utd |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Sheffield Utd | 0 - 1 | Charlton |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.12 | 47.2% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.55 | 28.2% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.61 | 27.7% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.92 | 52.1% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.93 | 51.8% | 06 Nov 06:15 |