| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.4% | 62% | -5.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.4% | 46.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 60.0% | 39.9% |
| logistic | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| Kyrian Jacquet | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1801 | 1742 |
| Surface Elo | 1801 | 1742 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.44 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.78 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 12 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | H | Rei Sakamoto | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Tianhui Zhang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Jaume Munar | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Jaume Munar | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Luciano Darderi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Matteo Martineau | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Liam Broady | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Matteo Martineau | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Clement Tabur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Dinko Dinev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Mar 2023 | Kyrian Jacquet | 2 - 1 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.60 | 62.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |