| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.9% | 58% | -1.1% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 80.3% | 83% | -2.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 72.9% | 76% | -3.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.2% | 60% | +13.4% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 62.8% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 19.7% | 20.3% | 60.0% |
| xgboost | 19.2% | 21.3% | 59.5% |
| logistic | 18.0% | 22.4% | 59.6% |
| Rizespor | Fenerbahce | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1570 | 1770 |
| Surface Elo | 1570 | 1770 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 19 | 20 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 9 W · 1 D |
| 20 Sep | A | Goztep | 2 - 2 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | Goztepe Izmir | 2 - 2 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Eyupspor | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Alanyaspor | 0 - 1 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Gaziantep | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Eyupspor | 8 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Eyupspor | 8 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Gaziantep | 0 - 0 | D |
| 05 Sep | H | Besiktas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Samsunspor | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Apr 2026 | Fenerbahce | 2 - 2 | Rizespor |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Rizespor | 2 - 5 | Fenerbahce |
| 02 Feb 2025 | Fenerbahce | 3 - 2 | Rizespor |
| 25 Aug 2024 | Rizespor | 0 - 5 | Fenerbahce |
| 17 Feb 2024 | Rizespor | 1 - 3 | Fenerbahce |
| 01 Oct 2023 | Fenerbahce | 5 - 0 | Rizespor |
| 22 Apr 2022 | Rizespor | 0 - 6 | Fenerbahce |
| 05 Dec 2021 | Fenerbahce | 4 - 0 | Rizespor |
| 30 Jan 2021 | Fenerbahce | 1 - 0 | Rizespor |
| 11 Sep 2020 | Rizespor | 1 - 2 | Fenerbahce |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.73 | 57.8% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.12 | 24.3% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.77 | 21.0% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.65 | 60.6% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |