| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.6% | 13% | +45.6% | abandoned |
| DC | Draw or away | 84.5% | 33% | +52.0% | abandoned |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 78.8% | 16% | +62.8% | abandoned |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.5% | 68% | -7.1% | abandoned |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.7% | no line | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 12.2% | 18.4% | 69.5% |
| xgboost | 18.3% | 24.5% | 57.3% |
| logistic | 15.1% | 22.5% | 62.4% |
| Altrincham | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1498 | 1784 |
| Surface Elo | 1498 | 1784 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 3.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Aldershot | 3 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Aldershot | 3 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Boreham Wood | 1 - 3 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Boreham Wood | 1 - 3 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Gateshead | 1 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | AFC Emley | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Tottenham | 1 - 1 | D |
| 06 Oct | A | Alfreton Town FC | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Worksop Town | 3 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Fulham | 1 - 1 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 7.25 | 13.8% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.40 | 18.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.38 | 72.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.50 | 66.7% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.55 | 39.2% | 17 Oct 06:15 |