| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.6% | 53% | +0.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.2% | 46.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 45.6% | 54.3% |
| logistic | 40.9% | 59.1% |
| Sergi Perez Contri | Ivan Gakhov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1459 | 1497 |
| Surface Elo | 1459 | 1497 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.71 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.57 |
| Rest days | 19 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | A | Leonid Sheyngezikht | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Dimitris Sakellaridis | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Sebastian Gima | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Florian Broska | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Tiago Cacao | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Julio Cesar Porras | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Cordoba, Carles | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Joao Domingues | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Joao Dinis Silva | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.90 | 52.6% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.80 | 55.6% | 07 Nov 06:15 |