| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 45.0% | 58% | -12.8% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 72.9% | 82% | -9.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 61.1% | 75% | -13.7% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 49.9% | 39% | +11.4% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 53.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.2% | 28.6% | 34.1% |
| xgboost | 49.5% | 27.3% | 23.2% |
| logistic | 43.5% | 29.3% | 27.2% |
| Bradford | York | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1561 | 1603 |
| Surface Elo | 1561 | 1603 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 10 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | H | Marine FC | 7 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Huddersfield | 0 - 3 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Huddersfield | 0 - 3 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Peterborough United | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Oxford | 0 - 0 | D |
| 07 Nov | H | Northampton | 4 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Grimsby | 2 - 5 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Grimsby | 2 - 5 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Barnet | 1 - 3 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Barnet | 1 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.25 | 23.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.25 | 23.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.66 | 60.2% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.45 | 69.0% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.70 | 37.0% | 10 Nov 06:15 |