| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.2% | 88% | -36.5% | |
| DC | Home or away | 77.1% | 88% | -11.1% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 66.4% | 94% | -27.3% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.5% | 78% | -15.0% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 63.5% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.4% | 25.0% | 30.9% |
| xgboost | 17.2% | 23.7% | 59.1% |
| logistic | 17.1% | 19.3% | 63.7% |
| Levante | Barcelona | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1521 | 1838 |
| Surface Elo | 1521 | 1838 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.50 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 8 W · 1 D |
| 06 Sep | A | Malaga | 0 - 0 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | Betis | 5 - 2 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Osasuna | 0 - 0 | D |
| 16 Aug | A | Espanol | 0 - 3 | L |
| 23 May | A | Betis | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Sep | A | Valencia | 5 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Vallecano | 5 - 2 | W |
| 27 Aug | H | Athletic Club | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | Elche | 5 - 0 | W |
| 23 May | A | Valencia | 1 - 3 | L |
| 22 Feb 2026 | Barcelona | 3 - 0 | Levante |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Levante | 2 - 3 | Barcelona |
| 10 Apr 2022 | Levante | 2 - 3 | Barcelona |
| 26 Sep 2021 | Barcelona | 3 - 0 | Levante |
| 11 May 2021 | Levante | 3 - 3 | Barcelona |
| 13 Dec 2020 | Barcelona | 1 - 0 | Levante |
| 02 Feb 2020 | Barcelona | 2 - 1 | Levante |
| 02 Nov 2019 | Levante | 3 - 1 | Barcelona |
| 27 Apr 2019 | Barcelona | 1 - 0 | Levante |
| 16 Dec 2018 | Levante | 0 - 5 | Barcelona |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.14 | 87.7% | 13 Sep 19:39 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 8.00 | 12.5% | 13 Sep 19:39 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 17.00 | 5.9% | 13 Sep 19:39 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.29 | 77.5% | 13 Sep 19:39 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.75 | 26.7% | 13 Sep 19:39 |