| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.8% | 57% | +0.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 36.3% | 63.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 52.0% | 47.9% |
| logistic | 37.7% | 62.3% |
| Federico Coria | Valerio Aboian | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1537 | 1692 |
| Surface Elo | 1537 | 1692 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.80 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.40 | 1.07 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Dreycopp, Ivan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Juan Pablo Ficovich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Valerio Aboian | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Ivan Dreycopp | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Alan Magadan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Federico Coria | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Alan Magadan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Hugo Dellien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Oct | H | Nick Hardt | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov 2026 | Federico Coria | 2 - 0 | Valerio Aboian |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.74 | 57.5% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 05 Nov 06:15 |