| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 43.0% | 33% | +9.7% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 72.2% | 76% | -3.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 57.0% | 47% | +10.4% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.7% | 54% | -0.0% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 41.0% | 30.2% | 28.9% |
| xgboost | 31.7% | 31.8% | 36.6% |
| logistic | 43.3% | 29.2% | 27.5% |
| Juve Stabia | Verona | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1477 | 1443 |
| Surface Elo | 1477 | 1443 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.33 | 1.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.33 | 1.75 |
| Rest days | 4 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Cremonese | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Cremonese | 1 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Sudtirol | 3 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Sudtirol | 3 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Virtus Entella | 1 - 1 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | Pisa | 1 - 1 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | Pisa | 1 - 1 | D |
| 16 Oct | H | Catanzaro | 2 - 2 | D |
| 16 Oct | H | Catanzaro | 2 - 2 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Modena | 2 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.00 | 33.3% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.86 | 53.8% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.88 | 53.2% | 27 Oct 06:15 |