OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-14

⚽ Primeira Liga · Monday 14 September 2026, 20:45 UTC · finished

Sp Braga 1.60 1 - 0 0.40 Estoril

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
No prediction run for this match yet.

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Draw	Away
–

Inputs the models saw

	Sp Braga	Estoril
Elo (pre-match)	1670	1474
Surface Elo	1670	1474
Form, last 5 (PPG)	1.60	0.40
Form trend	0.00	0.00
Season points per game	1.96	1.07
Season goals for / game	1.83	1.20
Season goals against / game	1.04	1.57
Rest days	4	7
Head-to-head (last 10)	6 W	1 W · 3 D

Sp Braga: last 5

10 Sep	A	Estrela	1 - 2	L
05 Sep	A	Alverca	2 - 1	W
31 Aug	H	Guimaraes	1 - 0	W
09 Aug	A	Moreirense	2 - 2	D
16 May	H	Estrela	2 - 2	D

Estoril: last 5

07 Sep	H	Arouca	0 - 0	D
31 Aug	A	Benfica	1 - 2	L
22 Aug	H	Rio Ave	0 - 2	L
16 Aug	A	Nacional	0 - 2	L
07 Aug	H	Famalicao	1 - 1	D

Head to head

03 May 2026	Sp Braga	1 - 1	Estoril
19 Dec 2025	Estoril	1 - 0	Sp Braga
19 Apr 2025	Estoril	0 - 2	Sp Braga
06 Dec 2024	Sp Braga	2 - 2	Estoril
13 Apr 2024	Estoril	0 - 1	Sp Braga
03 Dec 2023	Sp Braga	3 - 1	Estoril
08 Apr 2023	Sp Braga	4 - 1	Estoril
22 Oct 2022	Estoril	0 - 2	Sp Braga
18 Apr 2022	Estoril	0 - 0	Sp Braga
05 Dec 2021	Sp Braga	2 - 0	Estoril

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Bet365	1X2	away	8.00	12.5%	14 Sep 20:45
Bet365	1X2	draw	4.20	23.8%	14 Sep 20:45
Bet365	1X2	home	1.37	73.0%	14 Sep 20:45
Bet365	O/U 2.5	over	1.75	57.1%	14 Sep 20:45
Bet365	O/U 2.5	under	2.05	48.8%	14 Sep 20:45

Generated 2026-10-30 21:38 UTC