| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 68.7% | 77% | -8.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 25.1% | 74.9% |
| logistic | 40.7% | 59.3% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Tristan McCormick | Lucas Andrade Da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1422 | 1534 |
| Surface Elo | 1422 | 1534 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 0.25 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Bini, Victor | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Alex Hernandez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Tyler Mercier | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Jul | A | Facundo Mena | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Matteo Covato | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Daniel Salazar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Echazu, M | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.30 | 76.9% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.20 | 31.2% | 11 Oct 06:15 |