| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.2% | 71% | -10.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.7% | 48.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 70.8% | 29.1% |
| logistic | 59.6% | 40.4% |
| Gonzalo Bueno | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1594 | 1509 |
| Surface Elo | 1594 | 1509 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | H | Alex Barrena | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Hernan Casanova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Hernan Casanova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Alan Magadan | 1 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Francisco Comesana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Franco Ribero | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.80 | 35.7% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.41 | 70.9% | 29 Oct 06:15 |