| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.3% | 72% | -11.6% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 83.8% | 93% | -9.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 77.5% | 90% | -12.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% | 61% | -4.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 57.5% | 23.5% | 19.0% |
| xgboost | 75.4% | 12.3% | 12.2% |
| logistic | 69.7% | 20.2% | 10.0% |
| Halifax | Gateshead | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1479 | 1309 |
| Surface Elo | 1479 | 1309 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.25 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 3.25 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 1 W · 4 D |
| 03 Oct | A | Solihull | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Solihull | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Boston Utd | 1 - 1 | D |
| 29 Sep | H | Boston Utd | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Worthing | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Worthing | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Worthing | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Altrincham | 0 - 1 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Altrincham | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Wealdstone | 0 - 4 | L |
| 17 Feb 2026 | Halifax | 1 - 2 | Gateshead |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Gateshead | 1 - 2 | Halifax |
| 14 Jan 2025 | Gateshead | 1 - 3 | Halifax |
| 20 Aug 2024 | Halifax | 1 - 1 | Gateshead |
| 16 Dec 2023 | Gateshead | 0 - 2 | Halifax |
| 28 Aug 2023 | Halifax | 0 - 0 | Gateshead |
| 07 Mar 2023 | Gateshead | 0 - 0 | Halifax |
| 13 Sep 2022 | Halifax | 2 - 0 | Gateshead |
| 29 Dec 2018 | Gateshead | 1 - 1 | Halifax |
| 27 Aug 2018 | Halifax | 1 - 0 | Gateshead |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 7.00 | 14.3% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.70 | 21.3% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.38 | 72.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.65 | 60.6% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |