| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.1% | 29% | +26.7% | |
| DC | Draw or away | 80.3% | 61% | +19.7% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 73.3% | 41% | +32.4% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.5% | 62% | -8.6% | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.3% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 15.6% | 22.0% | 62.4% |
| xgboost | 26.5% | 29.0% | 44.5% |
| logistic | 15.7% | 24.3% | 60.0% |
| Asteras Tripolis | PAOK | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1467 | 1739 |
| Surface Elo | 1467 | 1739 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.43 | 1.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.14 | 0.71 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.14 |
| Rest days | 5 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 7 W · 3 D |
| 08 Nov | H | PAE PS Kalamata | 1 - 1 | D |
| 08 Nov | H | Kalamata | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Nov | A | PAOK | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | PAOK | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Pas Pyrgos | 1 - 1 | D |
| 08 Nov | A | Olympiakos | 1 - 1 | D |
| 08 Nov | A | Olympiacos | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Nov | H | Asteras Tripolis | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Asteras Tripolis | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | APS Zakynthos | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Nov 2026 | PAOK | 2 - 1 | Asteras Tripolis |
| 01 Nov 2026 | PAOK | 2 - 1 | Asteras Tripolis |
| 01 Mar 2026 | PAOK | 2 - 0 | Asteras Tripolis |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Asteras Tripolis | 3 - 3 | PAOK |
| 02 Mar 2025 | PAOK | 2 - 0 | Asteras Tripolis |
| 24 Nov 2024 | Asteras Tripolis | 1 - 2 | PAOK |
| 17 Dec 2023 | Asteras Tripolis | 1 - 4 | PAOK |
| 20 Aug 2023 | PAOK | 3 - 0 | Asteras Tripolis |
| 13 Feb 2023 | Asteras Tripolis | 2 - 2 | PAOK |
| 23 Oct 2022 | PAOK | 2 - 2 | Asteras Tripolis |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.20 | 31.2% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.98 | 50.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.10 | 47.6% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.61 | 62.1% | 12 Nov 06:15 |