OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-14
⚽ Greece Super League 2 · Saturday 14 November 2026, 13:00 UTC · scheduled
Asteras Tripolis 1.00 13:00 1.40 PAOK
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 56.1%29%+26.7%
DCDraw or away 80.3%61%+19.7%
DNBAway (DNB) 73.3%41%+32.4%
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 53.5%62%-8.6%
BTTSBTTS no 51.3%no line
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson15.6%22.0%62.4%
xgboost26.5%29.0%44.5%
logistic15.7%24.3%60.0%
Inputs the models saw
Asteras TripolisPAOK
Elo (pre-match)14671739
Surface Elo14671739
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.001.40
Form trend0.40-0.20
Season points per game1.431.14
Season goals for / game1.140.71
Season goals against / game1.001.14
Rest days55
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W7 W · 3 D
Asteras Tripolis: last 5
08 NovHPAE PS Kalamata1 - 1D
08 NovHKalamata1 - 1D
01 NovAPAOK1 - 2L
01 NovAPAOK1 - 2L
01 NovHPas Pyrgos1 - 1D
PAOK: last 5
08 NovAOlympiakos1 - 1D
08 NovAOlympiacos1 - 1D
01 NovHAsteras Tripolis2 - 1W
01 NovHAsteras Tripolis2 - 1W
01 NovHAPS Zakynthos1 - 1D
Head to head
01 Nov 2026PAOK2 - 1Asteras Tripolis
01 Nov 2026PAOK2 - 1Asteras Tripolis
01 Mar 2026PAOK2 - 0Asteras Tripolis
28 Sep 2025Asteras Tripolis3 - 3PAOK
02 Mar 2025PAOK2 - 0Asteras Tripolis
24 Nov 2024Asteras Tripolis1 - 2PAOK
17 Dec 2023Asteras Tripolis1 - 4PAOK
20 Aug 2023PAOK3 - 0Asteras Tripolis
13 Feb 2023Asteras Tripolis2 - 2PAOK
23 Oct 2022PAOK2 - 2Asteras Tripolis
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.4029.4%12 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.2031.2%12 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.9850.5%12 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.1047.6%12 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.6162.1%12 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 21:43 UTC