OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ Netherlands Eredivisie · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:45 UTC · finished
Feyenoord 2.60 2 - 0 2.60 AZ Alkmaar
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 56.0%54%+2.4%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 79.7%79%+1.1%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 72.0%71%+1.5%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 66.2%70%-3.5%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 57.6%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson56.1%22.1%21.8%
xgboost55.0%25.3%19.6%
logistic61.2%20.5%18.3%
Inputs the models saw
FeyenoordAZ Alkmaar
Elo (pre-match)17311665
Surface Elo17311665
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.602.60
Form trend-0.200.20
Season points per game3.003.00
Season goals for / game5.001.00
Season goals against / game0.000.00
Rest days2020
Head-to-head (last 10)7 W1 W · 2 D
Feyenoord: last 5
20 SepHUtrecht5 - 0W
20 SepHUtrecht5 - 0W
13 SepAZwolle7 - 0W
05 SepANijmegen3 - 1W
30 AugHDen Haag2 - 2D
AZ Alkmaar: last 5
09 OctHFC Den Bosch0 - 1L
20 SepHTelstar1 - 0W
20 SepHTelstar1 - 0W
11 SepHWillem II1 - 1D
06 SepAHeerenveen3 - 2W
Head to head
10 May 2026Feyenoord1 - 1AZ Alkmaar
21 Sep 2025AZ Alkmaar3 - 3Feyenoord
05 Apr 2025AZ Alkmaar0 - 1Feyenoord
02 Nov 2024Feyenoord3 - 2AZ Alkmaar
04 Feb 2024AZ Alkmaar0 - 1Feyenoord
12 Nov 2023Feyenoord1 - 0AZ Alkmaar
18 Feb 2023Feyenoord2 - 1AZ Alkmaar
16 Oct 2022AZ Alkmaar1 - 3Feyenoord
27 Feb 2022AZ Alkmaar2 - 1Feyenoord
07 Nov 2021Feyenoord1 - 0AZ Alkmaar
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.9625.2%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.0624.6%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.8853.2%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.4469.4%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.9034.5%09 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:07 UTC